Advertisement
Arap Kirwa explains why Raila is caught up in a big dilemma
04th August, 2025 09:13 AM
Former Moi-era Agriculture Minister Arap Kirwa has said that the ODM Party Leader Raila Odinga is in a catch-22 situation.
Speaking to one of the local TV stations on Monday, August 4, 2025, the outspoken politico said that internal divisions within ODM are becoming more visible and dangerous.
He warned that the survival of the party now depends on how Raila handles emerging ethnic tensions and rising competition from younger leaders.
Tribal politics within ODM
Kirwa said some leaders within ODM have started behaving as though they own the party more than others.
“The problem is certain tribes think they are more ODM than others,” he said during the interview.
He mentioned a few vocal politicians and warned that sidelining them could weaken the party significantly.
“If the likes of Sifuna, Caleb Amisi, Babu Owino and Tim Wanyonyi leave ODM, the party’s support will shrink by 50 per cent,” he said.
Kirwa noted that many Kenyans are watching closely to see whether ODM will choose unity or division as it prepares for 2027.
He also said ODM needs to recognise the influence of Nairobi-based leaders, especially among the youth and urban voters.
Fear of losing legacy
The former minister added that Raila faces a deep personal and political struggle.
“Although Raila is in a catch-22 situation, he will not want to see ODM die in his lifetime,” Kirwa said.
He explained that Raila’s long political journey and sacrifices would be meaningless if ODM collapses due to infighting.
Kirwa believes that the party leader may be forced to make uncomfortable compromises to keep ODM strong.
He said Raila will need to balance loyalty to older allies with the demands of younger leaders pushing for space.
He also warned that if Raila delays action, the damage could become permanent.
In his final remarks, Kirwa said time is running out and the decisions Raila makes now will define his legacy and the future of opposition politics in Kenya.
