Who will win World Cup, Spain or Argentina? Supercomputer predicts champion

Spain and Argentina meet in the ultimate clash of the 2026 World Cup finals at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey after a gruelling group-stage and knockout campaign.
The Sunday, July 19, 2026, match has been made iconic by the fact that Lionel Messi, considered an outgoing superstar, clashes with Spain’s Lamine Yamal, seen as the next big star in the world of football.
Supercomputer predicts champion
According to Opta’s analysis, Spain lifted the trophy in 59.6% of 25,000 simulations run ahead of the match, leaving Argentina with a 40.4% probability of reclaiming the title they won in Qatar four years ago.
In terms of the result inside 90 minutes, Spain won in 45.0% of the 25,000 pre-match simulations. The chance of the game finishing as a draw sits at 29.0%, while Argentina won the match without needing extra time or a penalty shootout in the remaining 26.0% of sims.