Nairobi Utd vs APS Bomet: Pre-match stats and analysis
By Joel Masibo, February 4, 2026Nairobi United will host APS Bomet in a Football Kenya Federation Premier League encounter that promises goals, judging by the numbers heading into the match on Wednesday, February 4, 2026, at Nyayo Stadium.
The two sides, both debutants, come into the fixture struggling defensively, a factor that could heavily influence the outcome. Nairobi United, currently 10th on the league table, have conceded at least one goal in all of its seven home matches this season. APS Bomet, who sit 17th, have also failed to keep things tight at the back, conceding in each of their last six league matches.
Form and momentum
Nairobi United have had a mixed run of form, managing 20 goals scored and conceding 17, with four clean sheets so far this season. APS Bomet, on the other hand, have found life difficult near the bottom of the table, conceding 26 goals while scoring 19, also managing just four clean sheets.
Recent head-to-head meetings between the two sides show little to separate them, with each team having picked up a win in their last two encounters, underlining how evenly matched this fixture has been.
What the stats say
Per 90 minutes, Nairobi United have been more aggressive in attack, averaging 13.1 shot attempts compared to APS Bomet’s 11.3. They also dominate possession-based metrics, attempting 287 passes per game against APS Bomet’s 193, and creating an average of 6.0 chances per match compared to 3.6.
Nairobi United also edge their opponents in crossing and set-piece threat, averaging 13.3 crosses and 5.6 corners per game, while APS Bomet record 11.5 crosses and 4.1 corners. Both teams commit a similar number of fouls per match (13.9) and average the same number of yellow cards (1.3), suggesting a fairly even physical contest.
Key players to watch
Much of Nairobi United’s attacking spark has come from Ovella Ochieng. The forward has featured in 15 matches, scoring three goals and leading the league in assists with five. His creativity is further highlighted by 23 chances created and 46 shot attempts, making him a central figure in Nairobi United’s attacking play.
APS Bomet will look to their main goal threat, Phillip Wasai, to make the difference. Wasai is the club’s top scorer with seven league goals from 17 matches. His presence in the box is evident, having recorded 23 touches inside the opposition area, and he will be key if APS Bomet are to exploit Nairobi United’s defensive vulnerabilities.
With both teams showing attacking intent but defensive fragility, the signs point to an open and entertaining contest. Nairobi United’s chance creation and passing efficiency give them a slight edge, but APS Bomet’s reliance on Wasai’s finishing could see them punish any lapses at the back.