Ojienda predicts Gachagua coalition will lose to Ruto but have many MPs in 2027
By Arnold Ngure, July 23, 2025Kisumu Senator Tom Ojienda has predicted that DCP Party leader Rigathi Gachagua will lose the 2027 presidential election to President William Ruto.
In his analysis during a TV interview on Tuesday, July 22, 2025, Ojienda stated that while Gachagua’s coalition of parties will ultimately lose the presidential election, they will have many elected members of parliament in both Houses.
“I foresee a scenario where Raila will support Ruto in the 2027 general elections; in my assessment, he may be the chairperson of the coalition which Ruto would use to secure his second term,” Ojienda said.
Many MPs and senators
“Rigathi’s camp will emerge second in the election, in my assessment, but he will have very many Members of Parliament in both Houses. While he is ineligible to run for office following his impeachment, his party would get almost all of the parliamentary seats in the greater Mt Kenya region.”
He also observed that Wiper Party leader Kalonzo Musyoka would ditch the United Opposition and join forces with Ruto and Raila to form a government in 2027.
“Wiper Party leader Kalonzo Musyoka will have to come back to work with Raila Odinga in the long run,” Ojienda said.
The Kisumu Senator equally projected that former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang’i will control the Kisii and Nyamira County vote despite the region having former Chief Justice David Maraga as another potential candidate.
Tough re-election
While Raila remained cagey on whether he intends to run, support another candidate, or endorse Ruto’s re-election bid, political alignments are expected to take shape in 2026 as the country approaches the electioneering year.
With the IEBC reconstituted, President Ruto is facing a tough election after falling out with the vote-rich Mount Kenya bastion and the youth, who are expected to greatly influence the outcome of the 2027 general elections.
Ruto, however, has secured what appears to be a tacit approval by Raila to inherit his voting block of Western region, Luo Nyanza, North-Eastern, and the coast.
In a previous interview, Raila said that he was in talks with Kalonzo and PLP Party leader Martha Karua, further complicating what the 2027 calculation could be like.